Wednesday 28 January 2015

28th January 2015

Market Commentary

US DX

94.624     -0.006 -0.01%

Interesting article here today on USA Today

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2015/01/28/january-fed-meeting/22448071/

In a statement after a two-day meeting, the Fed's policy making committee upgraded its economic outlook. It cited recent "strong job gains" and said the economy "has been expanding at a solid pace." Falling gasoline prices, it added, " have boosted household purchasing power."

That translates into strong support for the US DX. There is a strong property element for fundamental support of the currency under pinning the longs in the market.

Support   93.902       Resistance  95.312

 
EUR

1.12820   -0.00510 -0.45%

Japanese Shooting Star on Yahoo Daily Chart 

Please turn to the daily free yahoo finance chart and notice how on monday Jan 26th a classic shooting star emerges  after several preceding sessions of a gradual descent. usually the shooting star is the precursor signal in Japanese candlestick trading to signal the formation of technical indicators for a key pattern reversal. The succeeding 2 days of trading the EUR demonstrates the cessation of short positioning and at the very least a narrow sideways channel opening up to indicate either a pause, or loss of momentum, or market indecision. More likely this is a short covering bounce as traders take some profit and give the EUR some respite since its collapse over  the last few months. A market cannot slide forever and it is likely we will see more volatility and increasing intermittent patterns of short and bounce over the weeks ahead as traders tentatively nudge the EUR downwards a little more. The properties for a short trade over the longer term however remain technically in tact.

A good reference point for Japanese candlestick shapes can be found at these web pages by Steve Nison -  http://www.candlecharts.com/candlestick-charting-glossary.html

Support   1.12207       Resistance  1.14347


Crude Oil

44.56     +0.11 +0.24%

Support   43.04       Resistance  46.54


Gold

1283.970     -6.605 -0.51%

Support   1,272.9       Resistance  1,301.7



Pieter Bergli - DeLoren Trust Holdings

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