Tuesday 5 May 2015

5th May 2015 Currency markets, news and analysis

Forex Market Commentary  




The USDX is increasingly looking fragile as currency pairs erode gains in tiny steps with the Eur pushing at the 1.12 right now. but the rally is stalling awaiting further reports over the US economy as a whole. Dow took a plunge on Tuesday trading whilst the bond markets seriously got rattled. Crude oil futures hit 62 dollars for the WTI front end on the Nymex. The rise in oil prices was attributed to the weaker dollar. But it must be noted that increasingly the specs are starting to look Bullish and that augurs another move should us economic data continue to demonstrate sluggish numbers. An interesting figure will be when the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration will issue official stockpiles data on Wednesday. Traders feel that the glut in US crude oil markets is about to abate. 

Bloomberg put together an interesting article on the slump in the bond markets pointing out that as much as 340 billion Us dollars have been wiped out last week alone from bond portfolios worldwide due to increasing yields. Please read -

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-05-05/bond-damage-tally-340-billion-lost-as-slump-put-in-perspective


Please note that technical data should only be used as a guide but be aware that it is the fundamental data which becomes the trigger that pushes prices into equilibrium of demand and supply.


Always look to support and resistance band lines as the key to understanding in the long and short term where prices are converging. Professional technical traders use 50 day and 200 day medium and slow moving averages as fundamental cornerstones for interpreting the direction of price action.


USDX
95.103    -0.032 -0.04%
Support 94.331 Resistance  96.531
Forward 1 year - 96.368. Low growth positive line.

EUR  
1.118435    +0.004140 +0.37%
Support   1.10103  Resistance 1.13243
Forward 1 year - 1.12970. Low growth positive line.

Crude Oil  
60.90    +0.50 +0.85%
Support   57.57   Resistance 62.51
Forward 1 year - 64.7. Medium growth positive line.

Gold
1194.505    +5.950 +0.50%
Support  1,178.1     Resistance 1,206.9
Forward 1 year  -  1,199.1. Flat line.




Pieter Bergli - DeLoren Trust Holdings

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