Wednesday 15 July 2015

15th July 2015 Currency markets, news and analysis

Forex Market Commentary  



Greek lawmakers voted today Thursday to approve a an 86 billion Euro package that requires a strict austerity bill condition demanded by creditors, In the face of growing revolt from members of Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras' own left-wing party he admitted he had no choice but to push through the bill to impose tax hikes and spending cuts on an economy that has already been decimated over the last 6 years.

EUR/ USD dropped to the 1.09 and the USDX penetrated the 97 mark.
Any breaks below the 1.09 will face stiff resistance at the 1.05. hence the reluctance of large volume new shorts at 1.09. Key Euro and US inflation data may swing prices any way with increased volatility.

See on Bloomberg, one analyst points to the EUR/ USD pointing to parity although the analysis seems to be extreme - 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2015-07-16/euro-could-be-below-parity-by-end-of-year-gibbs 
 
and how US Treasury demand can be afftected as investors now look globally for higher yeilds.

 
Crude oil remains stuck at the 52 mark with concerns over China and bullion broke below the 1150 mark today with lack of interest in flight to safety.



Always look to support and resistance band lines as the key to understanding in the long and short term where prices are converging. Professional technical traders use 50 day and 200 day medium and slow moving averages as fundamental cornerstones for interpreting the direction of price action.


USDX
US Dollar
97.269     +0.143 +0.18% 
Support 95.653 Resistance 98.343
Forward 1 year - 95.943. Low growth positive line.

EUR  
1.09372     +0.00010 +0.01%
Support   1.08430  Resistance 1.15030
Forward 1 year - 1.13770.  Low growth positive line

Crude Oil  
52.34     +0.55 +1.02%
Support 51.32   Resistance  55.78
Forward 1 year - 61.31. Low growth positive line.

Gold
147.950     +0.665 +0.06%
Support  1,140.5     Resistance 1,164.3
Forward 1 year  -  1,186.2 Low growth line.




Pieter Bergli - DeLoren Trust Holdings

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