Friday 10 April 2015

10th April 2015 Currency markets, news and analysis

Forex Market Commentary

Well US equities and bonds markets are happy enough. Dow posting  98.92 to close at 18057.65. Any respite from the USD appreciation sends equities in USA and all round the world into glee. Yes USD had bounced back against 10 major currencies this week, but in the short term there's a real nagging doubt in traders minds. We already have seen 2 major red flags on the US economy and fresh longs are reluctant even with counter part weakness considered but still the EUR slips for 5 sessions in a row this week no matter what the fears in US markets the facts of bond differentials keep stacking up

Read on Reuters -  http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/10/markets-forex-idUSL2N0X711U20150410

The USD keeps creeping up even if reluctant because the US bond markets justify higher demand for USD. Its basic math. US bonds pay more interest and foreigners need to buy USD to invest in higher yields. Higher USD maybe be nerve wracking for US equities but all round the globe equities are in delight as their export values in USD terms grow. See on Reuters the effects of the USD weighing in on Euro land equities as markets soar to levels not seen since the year 2000, that's 15 year highs -

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/10/markets-stocks-europe-idUSL5N0X73HO20150410
A weaker European currency is good news for the exporting market of Europe in particularly manufacturing. In Japan the Nikkei hits the 20,000 and most of this is largely due to the bond rate differentials - weaker global rates vs US rates is driving global equities markets form strength to strength.

Crude oil and gold have hit the brakes again and trade sideways as the USD recovers all week long. fresh concerns for bullion slippage back to the 1100 maybe on the cards and crude oil back fdown to 45 if an Iran deal is reached soon.

 
Always look to support and resistance band lines as the key to understanding in the long and short term where prices are converging. Professional technical traders use 50 day and 200 day medium and slow moving averages as fundamental cornerstones for interpreting the direction of price action.

USDX
99.350     +0.378 +0.49%
Support 98.665  Resistance 100.435

EUR
 
1.060200     -0.007765 -0.73%
Support   1.05123 Resistance 1.07423

Crude Oil
 
51.79     +1.00 +1.97%
Support   49.37   Resistance  53.07

Gold
1208.000     +13.100 +1.10%

Support   1,185.0    Resistance  1,220.4
       



Pieter Bergli - DeLoren Trust Holdings

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