Monday 15 June 2015

15th June 2015 Currency markets, news and analysis

Forex Market Commentary  



The Dow took a tumble on a non eventful day with all traders now glaring at the calendar date June 17th for the Fed report and decision on interest rate policy. Monday's are usually frenetic and apart from the Dow shaving 107 points to close at 17791.17, virtually nothing happened in the FX and bonds markets let alone the two major commodities crude oil and gold bullion.


The FOMC rate decision that will be given on June 17 is likely to set off traders in directions. till then we have an eerie pregnant pause before the real storm begins. small traders would be wise to seek options cover on current positions and new entrants wary of high volatility that usually follows announcements like this with strong probabilities of whipsaw effects hovering just ahead. Day traders and momentum traders need to take real caution and watch for the tell-tale signs of institutional posturing before the announcement comes in.

On Bloomberg today Fed Chair Yellen has already snuffed out any presentiments of rate activity due to weakening economic date. Please read - 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-16/janet-yellen-s-prediction-last-month-is-already-being-vindicated 

And on Reuters today gasoline at the pump in Texas set for an increase as Tropical storms appear increasing support for crude oil prices.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/16/us-markets-oil-idUSKBN0OV03920150616

Always look to support and resistance band lines as the key to understanding in the long and short term where prices are converging. Professional technical traders use 50 day and 200 day medium and slow moving averages as fundamental cornerstones for interpreting the direction of price action.


USDX
US Dollar
94.737     -0.096 -0.12%
Support 94.362 Resistance 96.452
Forward 1 year -95.877. Low growth positive line.

EUR  
1.13120     +0.00463 +0.41%
Support   1.11037   Resistance 1.13977
Forward 1 year - 1.13490.  Low growth positive line

Crude Oil  
60.50     +0.50 +0.83%
Support 59.21   Resistance  61.01
Forward 1 year - 62.46. Low growth positive line.

Gold
1185.685     +0.135 +0.01%
Support  1,171.4     Resistance 1,187.6
Forward 1 year  -  1,185.1 Low growth line.




Pieter Bergli - DeLoren Trust Holdings

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