Monday 22 June 2015

22nd June 2015 Currency markets, news and analysis

Forex Market Commentary  




Apart from gold bullion dropping slightly the markets have been relatively inactive on monday's session. Today's crisis talks with European politicians on Greek debt has not been resolved today. French President François Hollande added “Greek proposals have improved, but aren’t there yet.”   The Greeks have been given 48hrs to get their act together in tough negotiating from the ECB. But there doesn't seem to be the political will on the Greek side in resolving the country's issue of debt to bond holders.  June 30th is the date where the bundled repayments are due to the IMF. 

Bloomberg today  runs an article discussing the Greek situation and why investors are not worried on default.  It turns out that investors are more seriously concerned with any blips that could happen as a result of the China equities markets coming to a halt. Moreover given the excruciating amount of time spent on this debt haggling issue, investors have had plenty of time to cap their losses and hedge their positions so as to minimize any losses incurred by exposure to Greek fixed income products. Thus effectively the markets have moved efficiently to demonstrate how hedging can minimize risk exposure and take the stuffing out of any  Greek theatrics. Should they stay or should they go? has become a non-event.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-22/barclays-investors-aren-t-really-worried-about-greece

and - 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-06-23/china-stock-futures-sink-after-worst-week-since-financial-crisis 


Always look to support and resistance band lines as the key to understanding in the long and short term where prices are converging. Professional technical traders use 50 day and 200 day medium and slow moving averages as fundamental cornerstones for interpreting the direction of price action.


USDX
US Dollar
94.838     +0.515 +0.66% 
Support 93.362 Resistance 94.954
Forward 1 year - 95.233. Low growth positive line.

EUR  
1.12686     -0.00537 -0.47%
Support   1.12513   Resistance 1.14733
Forward 1 year - 1.14770.  Low growth positive line

Crude Oil  
60.02     -0.36 -0.60%
Support 58.00   Resistance  61.36
Forward 1 year - 62.70. Low growth positive line.

Gold
1185.95     -1.50 -0.13%
Support  1,180.3     Resistance 1,207.3
Forward 1 year  -  1,208.8 Low growth line.




Pieter Bergli - DeLoren Trust Holdings

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